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Nut count (NC), trunk circumference (TC), competition factor (CF), days from budbreak (DAY), and high or low crop year (YR) data were collected on 40 trees at three sites across Texas in 1985 and 1986, to create a model that would predict pecan [Carya illinoensis (Wangenh.) C. Koch] yield. The model developed predicted the natural logarithm of the total nuts on the tree [In(NUTS)]: In(NUTS) = 2.112 + [0.634 × In(NC)] + (0.00119 × TC) – (0.0701 × In(CF)) + (0.00639 × DAY) + (0.728 × YR). The equation accounts for 87% of the variation in yield. The model is not sufficiently accurate to predict individual tree yields well, but additional data show an ability to accurately predict average tree yields.
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HortScience